Tuesday, March 1, 2011

2011 Horizon League WBB Championship: 256 simplified...

With two games in the Horizon League women's basketball season, not much is known for sure. What we do know is Green Bay is No. 1. Youngstown State is No. 10. After that, every team has room to move.

In games that effect Milwaukee, which is every game this week but the Loyola/YSU game Saturday, there are 256 possible scenarios. Of those, the Panthers can go anywhere from No. 4 (with a home quarterfinal game Wednesday) to No. 7 (playing in the first round game Monday, but at home).

Here is what I think* we know:

Milwaukee can get the No. 4 seed IF:
It goes 2-0 AND
- UIC goes 0-2 AND Wright State loses to Green Bay OR
- UIC beats CSU/loses to YSU AND AND Wright State loses to Green Bay OR
- Cleveland State goes 0-2 AND Wright State loses to Green Bay

Milwaukee will get the No. 5 seed IF:
- UWM goes 2-0 AND Cleveland State, Wright State OR UIC goes 0-2
- UWM goes 1-1 AND UIC goes 0-2 AND Wright State loses to Green Bay AND Butler beats Valparaiso

Milwaukee will be No. 7 seed IF:
UWM goes 0-2 AND Detroit beats Green Bay

Every other scenario puts Milwaukee at No. 6.

Things to Remember:
- Milwaukee holds head-to-head tie breaker with Cleveland State and Wright State
- Milwaukee holds head-to-head tie breaker with UIC IF Butler is No. 2 seed
- In a 3- or 4-way tie that involves UIC, Milwaukee is always the No. 2 team
- In a 3-way tie without UIC, Milwaukee is the No. 1 team

I hope this clarifies some things for those that are interested. As a reminder, the Panthers play at Detroit Thursday at 6 pm. central time and at Wright State at 1 p.m. central time Saturday. Neither game will interfere with you following men's basketball, so check it out on the Horizon League Network (video), AM 920 WOKY (radio) or my live blog. Links to everything can be found at uwmpanthers.com.

* Using an asterisk to cover my behind, but I worked hard, so I think I'm right... and my behind is covered.